Easing migration will be tough, say experts

Experts Warn: Financial Challenges Ahead as Migration Policies Face Tough Easing Decisions

Priya Nair
8 Min Read
While manpower is available in states such as Bihar and Jharkhand, the movement is towards states such as Maharashtra, and Tamil Nadu.

New Delhi: The Indian government’s budget for fiscal 2025-26 aims to address migration by generating employment opportunities for marginalized groups in rural areas. However, recruiters caution that without substantial agricultural reforms and infrastructure development, easing the migration challenge will be tough. The skewed demand-supply dynamics for workers across states must be addressed to retain talent in rural regions, particularly when blue- and white-collar jobs are concentrated in tier-one cities.

Rural Employment and Migration Dynamics

The recent budget proposed by the Indian government sets ambitious goals for empowering marginalized groups, particularly young, small farmers, landless families, and rural women. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman emphasized, “The goal is to generate ample opportunities in rural areas so that migration is an option, but not a necessity.” While this intention is commendable, recruiters express skepticism about its feasibility without significant agricultural reforms and infrastructural development.

The current situation reflects a profound demand-supply gap across various states. Many workers, especially skilled laborers, often find themselves compelled to migrate to tier-one cities like Mumbai and Bengaluru, where employment opportunities in sectors such as IT and manufacturing are more plentiful. “Economic development (across states) will be lopsided for the foreseeable future,” warns Aditya Narayan Mishra, CEO of CIEL HR Services. He points out that employment clusters dictate where skilled workers should flock, which complicates any efforts to hold them back from migration.

The Urban Pull and Employment Preferences

As outlined in the latest Economic Survey, agriculture remains the cornerstone of employment in India; its contribution has risen from 44.1% in 2017-18 to 46.1% in 2023-24. However, for young, educated individuals seeking modern employment opportunities, traditional agriculture may seem less appealing. The allure of businesses, manufacturing, and IT roles in urban centers continues to drive the youth towards cities, leaving rural areas vulnerable to workforce depletion.

For instance, a skilled blue-collar worker in a big city might earn about ₹12,000–₹13,000 per month. While this is just marginally over what they might make in their hometown, the latter often lacks the same infrastructure and opportunities for personal growth. In contrast, white-collar professionals often command significantly higher salaries, making urban relocation even more desirable.

Recruiters have noted that disparate earning potentials exacerbate the migration issue, particularly in states like Bihar, Jharkhand, and Uttar Pradesh, where the labor supply is abundant but the job opportunities in local industries are limited. Balasubramanian A., Senior Vice President at Teamlease Services, explained, “The demand-supply gap is different in different parts of the country, and hence migration is difficult to ease. The earning potential will depend on the investments in agricultural productivity and infrastructure development to retain the workforce in the rural belts.”

Bridging the Gap: The Role of Tier-II and -III Cities

As the budget aims to stimulate employment, a critical strategy involves investing in tier-II and -III cities. Shiv Agrawal, Managing Director of ABC Consultants, believes that focusing on these urban centers could alleviate congestion in tier-one cities. He remarks, “Even if one is able to move to a tier-2 city instead of a tier-1, it is a step forward.”

Businesses and Global Capability Centers (GCCs) are increasingly eyeing the potential of smaller cities as a viable option for recruitment. If GCCs can establish their operations in these emerging spots, the pressure on major metropolitan areas could lessen, allowing a more balanced distribution of the workforce.

In its budget proposals, the government aims to create a national framework to promote these Global Capability Centers in tier-2 cities. Given that GCCs are vying for talent against well-established sectors like IT, this can offer a valuable alternative for wage earners and professionals. Infrastructure investment, coupled with the employment generation envisioned in the budget, could serve as powerful catalysts for reversing the current migration trend.

The Road Ahead: Challenges and Opportunities

While addressing these complex issues will require a multi-faceted approach, many in the recruiting industry stress that a clearer roadmap for creating jobs in rural areas is crucial. Until solutions are actionable, the polarization of employment opportunities is likely to persist, leading to continued pressure on urban job markets.

As cities grapple with their growing populations, the urgency of developing rural areas is compounded by the need for sustainable economic growth. The goal is not merely to create jobs but also to ensure that these positions are attractive enough for the younger demographic in rural areas.

The Indian economy stands at a crossroads, teetering between the promise of rural empowerment through job creation and the ongoing migration trends that threaten to undermine these efforts. If the government can make significant strides in bridging this gap, the vision for a balanced workforce across both urban and rural settings may not be an impossible dream.

In conclusion, the road ahead demands collaboration between government bodies, businesses, and recruitment agencies aimed at reshaping the economic landscape. As India navigates these transitions, the commitment to building a more inclusive job market will be key in retaining its talented workforce within the fabric of society.

💡 Bankerpedia’s Insight

The recent budget announcement highlights the urgent need for agricultural reforms and infrastructure improvements to bridge the widening demand-supply gap in the workforce. This matters for India’s banking and finance sector because enhancing rural employment opportunities could stabilize the economic environment, reducing urban migration pressure and improving financial inclusivity. If tier-II and -III cities can develop, they will attract investments, creating a more balanced regional economy. Readers should stay informed about local employment initiatives, as opportunities may arise closer to home, promoting sustainable growth and benefiting both individuals and communities.

🤔 What Does This Mean for Me?

  • Salaried Person → Potential for job opportunities in smaller cities increases.
  • Business Owner → Increased competition for skilled workers in rural areas.
  • Student → Increased job opportunities in rural areas for students.
  • Self-employed → Potential for increased opportunities in rural areas.
  • Homemaker → More job opportunities in rural areas for homemakers.
  • Retiree / Senior Citizen → Job creation in rural areas may improve retiree support.
  • Job Seeker → Increased opportunities in rural and smaller cities emerging.
  • Farmer / Rural Citizen → Potential for improved rural employment opportunities and reduced migration.

📚 Research References

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